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Crown Green Handicap

Ian Ball

Team: Oxton Cons BDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

847

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

11

Matches Played

8

Wins

3

Losses

73%

Win Rate

9.9

Avg Win Margin

9.7

Avg Loss Margin

4-2

Home Record

4-1

Away Record

11%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
11 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 6/9/2026

Only 11 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 11 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

14 May11 Jun25 Jun9 Jul19 May9 Jun-12510

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(35%)
73%
score+0.45→contribution+0.16
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
9.9
score+0.31→contribution+0.07
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.7
score-0.28→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
73%
score+0.45→contribution+0.05
Opponent Strength(15%)
890
score+0.34→contribution+0.05
Weighted Score+0.292
Sample Size Confidence
11%(11/33 matches)
Rating1117 → shrunk 1013→ adjusted 840
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)891
Recency Blend15% (11 recent matches)
Final Rating847
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

8W3L11 matches·72.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Oxton Cons B2024–2026Division B, Division C118372.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
6/9/2026James RyanH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
5/21/2026Nicky Bailey **H21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
5/19/2026Kevn JonesA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision B
5/14/2026Zoe StrattonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
7/9/2024Mike CooperH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
7/2/2024Brian DentonH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision C
6/25/2024Graham GouldA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
6/13/2024Bernie VollerA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
6/11/2024Bill DowH3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision C
5/21/2024Grzegorz OrzechA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
5/14/2024Brian DentonA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
Geoff Clare Trophy1 games · 1W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundTony McdonoughAlbany B21-1WINWON

Current Streak

3wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWWLW
Last 1070% win rate↑ improving
WWWLWWWLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Brian Denton202100%7/2/2024
James Ryan101100%6/9/2026
Nicky Bailey **101100%5/21/2026
Kevn Jones101100%5/19/2026
Zoe Stratton0110%5/14/2026
Mike Cooper101100%7/9/2024
Graham Gould101100%6/25/2024
Bernie Voller0110%6/13/2024
Bill Dow0110%6/11/2024
Grzegorz Orzech101100%5/21/2024
Biggest Win
Brian Denton (+16)7/2/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Bill Dow (-18)6/11/2024
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
60% → 83%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
88910 known · 1 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-20% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
7-188% win rate

By Division

Division C5-2 (71%)
Division B3-1 (75%)
Division B75%
3W·1L·4 played
Division C71.4%
5W·2L·7 played

Debut

May 14, 2024

Latest

Jun 9, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (2.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

5.5 (11 total)

Seasons

20242026